Combat Edge Intelligence

Emily Peters Kagan vs Gloria de Paula

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-3-0Record6-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'5"
37.00Reach67"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamFabiana Belai Academia

What's at stake

Gloria de Paula is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Emily Peters Kagan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Emily Peters KaganNow 1459
If they win+26→ 1485
If they lose-22→ 1437
Gloria de PaulaNow 1494
If they win+14→ 1508
If they lose-18→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.60
Sig. strikes / min
4.89
37%
Strike accuracy
54%
5.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.77
38%
Strike defense
66%
1.86
Takedown avg.
0.74
14%
Takedown accuracy
38%
50%
Takedown defense
65%
0
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Emily Peters KaganGloria de Paula
1450150015502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (100%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Gloria de Paula59%
Emily Peters Kagan 41%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Gloria de Paula a 59% favorite over Emily Peters Kagan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Gloria de Paula holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1494 to 1459, a 35-point edge.

Emily Peters Kagan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Emily Peters Kagan finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Gloria de Paula 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.