Combat Edge Intelligence

Emily Peters Kagan vs Kailin Curran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-3-0Record6-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'4"
37.00Reach37,0"
115 lbsWeight113 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamRVCA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Emily Peters KaganNow 1459
If they win+25→ 1484
If they lose-23→ 1436
Kailin CurranNow 1471
If they win+15→ 1486
If they lose-17→ 1454

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.60
Sig. strikes / min
3.89
37%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.75
38%
Strike defense
53%
1.86
Takedown avg.
2
14%
Takedown accuracy
58%
50%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Emily Peters KaganKailin Curran
1450150020152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (17%)
3 (100%)
Decision
5 (83%)

Combat Edge model read

Kailin Curran62%
Emily Peters Kagan 38%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Kailin Curran a 62% favorite over Emily Peters Kagan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1459 vs 1471), separated by just 12 points.

Emily Peters Kagan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kailin Curran enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Emily Peters Kagan finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Kailin Curran 17%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.