Emily Whitmire vs Ilara Joanne
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-5-0Record13-11-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'3"
TBDReach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamPitbull Brothers
What's at stake
Ilara Joanne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Emily Whitmire carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1503
If they lose-21→ 1455
If they win+14→ 1536
If they lose-18→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Emily WhitmireIlara Joanne
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilara Joanne84%
Emily Whitmire 16%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilara Joanne a 84% favorite over Emily Whitmire in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Ilara Joanne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1522 to 1476, a 46-point edge.
Emily Whitmire enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Emily Whitmire finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Ilara Joanne 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.