Combat Edge Intelligence

Enrique Barzola vs Matt Bessette

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-11-2Record25-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"Reach39,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts Center· 1696 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamUnderdog Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Enrique BarzolaNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649
Matt BessetteNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.91
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
42%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.45
69%
Strike defense
59%
4.20
Takedown avg.
0.64
40%
Takedown accuracy
29%
67%
Takedown defense
61%
0.30
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Enrique BarzolaMatt Bessette
165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
8 (32%)
6 (26%)
Submission
9 (36%)
12 (52%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Enrique Barzola63%
Matt Bessette 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Enrique Barzola a 63% favorite over Matt Bessette in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Bessette's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1664), separated by just 3 points.

Enrique Barzola enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Enrique Barzola finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Matt Bessette 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.