Combat Edge Intelligence

Enrique Marin vs Erick Montaño

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record10-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
74,0"Reach73"
159 lbsWeight169 lbs
Sutemi MMATeamBonebreakers MMA

What's at stake

Enrique Marin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Erick Montaño carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Enrique MarinNow 1599
If they win+11→ 1610
If they lose-21→ 1578
Erick MontañoNow 1490
If they win+21→ 1511
If they lose-11→ 1479

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.43
Sig. strikes / min
2.79
33%
Strike accuracy
45%
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.06
51%
Strike defense
65%
2.50
Takedown avg.
2.29
38%
Takedown accuracy
36%
60%
Takedown defense
67%
1
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Enrique MarinErick Montaño
150015501600202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (21%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
5 (36%)
Submission
4 (40%)
6 (43%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Enrique Marin70%
Erick Montaño 30%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Enrique Marin a 70% favorite over Erick Montaño in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Enrique Marin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1599 to 1490, a 109-point edge.

Enrique Marin finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Erick Montaño 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.