Enrique Pacheco vs John Jairo Quiñones
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Enrique Pacheco57%
John Jairo Quiñones 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Enrique Pacheco a 57% favorite over John Jairo Quiñones in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1574), separated by just 1 points.
Enrique Pacheco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Enrique Pacheco finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, John Jairo Quiñones 43%.
Enrique Pacheco and John Jairo Quiñones share 1 common opponent: Alfredo Muaiad.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record8-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
67"Reach-
122 lbsWeight125 lbs
MT TeamTeamTeam Ludus· 1601 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Enrique PachecoJohn Jairo Quiñones
Win method breakdown
Common opponents (1)
LossTKO (Punches) · 2021
WinFrontal Anaconda Choke · 2020
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2019