Enrique Pacheco vs Kevin Fernandez
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Fernandez64%
Enrique Pacheco 36%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Fernandez a 64% favorite over Enrique Pacheco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Kevin Fernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1671 to 1575, a 96-point edge.
Enrique Pacheco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kevin Fernandez enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Enrique Pacheco finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Fernandez 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record10-1-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"Reach68"
122 lbsWeight131 lbs
MT TeamTeam
What's at stake
Kevin Fernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Enrique Pacheco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1563
If they win+12→ 1683
If they lose-20→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Enrique PachecoKevin Fernandez