Combat Edge Intelligence

Erasyl Shukataev vs Keisuke Sasu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record14-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach69"
137 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erasyl ShukataevNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Keisuke SasuNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.76
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
62%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.88

Trajectory

Erasyl ShukataevKeisuke Sasu
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
6 (46%)
Submission
4 (29%)
2 (15%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Erasyl Shukataev and Keisuke Sasu within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1615), separated by just 2 points.

Keisuke Sasu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Erasyl Shukataev finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Keisuke Sasu 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.