Combat Edge Intelligence

Erasyl Shukataev vs Yaotzin Meza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record23-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
-Reach39,0"
137 lbsWeight145 lbs
Almas KyrandaryTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erasyl ShukataevNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Yaotzin MezaNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.43
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.62
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.06
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
TBD
Takedown defense
18%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Erasyl ShukataevYaotzin Meza
16002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (22%)
6 (46%)
Submission
9 (39%)
2 (15%)
Decision
9 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Erasyl Shukataev66%
Yaotzin Meza 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Erasyl Shukataev a 66% favorite over Yaotzin Meza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yaotzin Meza's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.

Erasyl Shukataev finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Yaotzin Meza 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.