Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Alequin vs Zach Scroggin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
74″Reach74"
170 lbsWeight183 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMarathon MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric AlequinNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
Zach ScrogginNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.80
TBD
Strike defense
69%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eric AlequinZach Scroggin
1500155016001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
2 (29%)
Submission
2 (29%)
5 (71%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Eric Alequin and Zach Scroggin within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1623), separated by just 3 points.

Eric Alequin finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Zach Scroggin 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.