Eric Beck vs Joshua Sierra
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Sierra53%
Eric Beck 47%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Sierra a 53% favorite over Eric Beck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1523), separated by just 4 points.
Joshua Sierra 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record4-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-Reach69"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1543
If they lose-24→ 1495
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eric BeckJoshua Sierra