Eric Beck vs Vagner Gaúcho
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Vagner Gaúcho63%
Eric Beck 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Vagner Gaúcho a 63% favorite over Eric Beck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1522), separated by just 3 points.
Vagner Gaúcho enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Vagner Gaúcho 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight145 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamDyogo Teles MMA· 1618 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1543
If they lose-24→ 1495
If they win+24→ 1546
If they lose-24→ 1498
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eric BeckVagner Gaúcho