Eric Castile vs Tysen Herken
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record0-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Undisputed BoxingTeamIronworks Training Center
What's at stake
Eric Castile is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Tysen Herken carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1516
If they lose-25→ 1468
If they win+25→ 1501
If they lose-23→ 1453
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1462 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eric CastileTysen Herken
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tysen Herken60%
Eric Castile 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Tysen Herken a 60% favorite over Eric Castile in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eric Castile's way (48%).
Eric Castile holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1493 to 1476, a 17-point edge.
Eric Castile enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Eric Castile finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.