Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric McConico vs Mario Miranda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-1Record14-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamBlack House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric McConicoNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Mario MirandaNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
1.96
47%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.46
46%
Strike defense
37%
0.64
Takedown avg.
1.02
0%
Takedown accuracy
60%
69%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eric McConicoMario Miranda
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
3 (27%)
Submission
5 (36%)
4 (36%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric McConico84%
Mario Miranda 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric McConico a 84% favorite over Mario Miranda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.

Mario Miranda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eric McConico finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Mario Miranda 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.