Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric McConico vs Neal Ewing

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neal Ewing
us

Neal Ewing

“No Problem”

6-0-0MiddleweightBFC

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-1Record6-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamOctagon MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric McConicoNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Neal EwingNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
0.64
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
69%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eric McConicoNeal Ewing
15501600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
3 (27%)
Submission
3 (50%)
4 (36%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric McConico60%
Neal Ewing 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric McConico a 60% favorite over Neal Ewing in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Neal Ewing's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.

Neal Ewing enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Eric McConico finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Neal Ewing 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.