Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric McConico vs Nursulton Ruziboev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-1Record37-9-2
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'5"
77"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamUZB Patriot

What's at stake

Nursulton Ruziboev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Eric McConico carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eric McConicoNow 1631
If they win+20→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1619
Nursulton RuziboevNow 1727
If they win+9→ 1736
If they lose-15→ 1712

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.61
Sig. strikes / min
2.59
44%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
47%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
0.75
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
64%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eric McConicoNursulton Ruziboev
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
13 (35%)
3 (27%)
Submission
21 (57%)
4 (36%)
Decision
3 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Nursulton Ruziboev76%
Eric McConico 24%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Nursulton Ruziboev a 76% favorite over Eric McConico in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Nursulton Ruziboev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1727 to 1631, a 96-point edge.

Nursulton Ruziboev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Eric McConico finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Nursulton Ruziboev 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.