Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric McConico vs Nursulton Ruziboev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-1Record37-9-2
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'5"
77"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamUZB Patriot

What's at stake

Nursulton Ruziboev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Eric McConico carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eric McConicoNow 1615
If they win+21→ 1636
If they lose-11→ 1604
Nursulton RuziboevNow 1726
If they win+8→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1710

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
47%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.68
46%
Strike defense
49%
0.64
Takedown avg.
1.36
0%
Takedown accuracy
20%
69%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Eric McConicoNursulton Ruziboev
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
13 (35%)
3 (27%)
Submission
21 (57%)
4 (36%)
Decision
3 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Nursulton Ruziboev71%
Eric McConico 29%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Nursulton Ruziboev a 71% favorite over Eric McConico in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Nursulton Ruziboev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1615, a 111-point edge.

Nursulton Ruziboev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Eric McConico finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Nursulton Ruziboev 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.