Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric McConico vs Rodolfo Vieira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rodolfo Vieira
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Rodolfo Vieira

“The Black Belt Hunter”

11-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1647Solid

Tale of the tape

11-4-1Record11-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
77"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamFusion X-Cel Performance

What's at stake

Rodolfo Vieira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Eric McConico carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eric McConicoNow 1631
If they win+17→ 1648
If they lose-15→ 1616
Rodolfo VieiraNow 1647
If they win+15→ 1662
If they lose-17→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.61
Sig. strikes / min
3.55
44%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.38
47%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
2.70
TBD
Takedown accuracy
21%
64%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0.90

Trajectory

Eric McConicoRodolfo Vieira
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
3 (27%)
Submission
9 (82%)
4 (36%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Eric McConico and Rodolfo Vieira within a point of even.

Rodolfo Vieira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1631, a 16-point edge.

Rodolfo Vieira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eric McConico finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Vieira 91%.

Eric McConico and Rodolfo Vieira share 1 common opponent: Cody Brundage.

Eric McConico carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (split) · 2025
Cody Brundage
WinSubmission · 2023