Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric McConico vs Rodolfo Vieira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rodolfo Vieira
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Rodolfo Vieira

“The Black Belt Hunter”

11-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1647Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-1Record11-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
77"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1620 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Rodolfo Vieira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Eric McConico carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eric McConicoNow 1615
If they win+17→ 1632
If they lose-15→ 1600
Rodolfo VieiraNow 1647
If they win+15→ 1662
If they lose-17→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
3.43
47%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.28
46%
Strike defense
49%
0.64
Takedown avg.
2.87
0%
Takedown accuracy
3%
69%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0.91

Trajectory

Eric McConicoRodolfo Vieira
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
3 (27%)
Submission
9 (82%)
4 (36%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodolfo Vieira58%
Eric McConico 42%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodolfo Vieira a 58% favorite over Eric McConico in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Rodolfo Vieira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1615, a 32-point edge.

Rodolfo Vieira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eric McConico finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Vieira 91%.

Eric McConico and Rodolfo Vieira share 1 common opponent: Cody Brundage.

Eric McConico carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (split) · 2025
Cody Brundage
WinSubmission · 2023