Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric McConico vs Tomasz Drwal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-1Record22-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamSzkola Walki Drwala

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric McConicoNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Tomasz DrwalNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
3.29
47%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.26
46%
Strike defense
57%
0.64
Takedown avg.
3.55
0%
Takedown accuracy
60%
69%
Takedown defense
82%
0
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Eric McConicoTomasz Drwal
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
14 (64%)
3 (27%)
Submission
5 (23%)
4 (36%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric McConico72%
Tomasz Drwal 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric McConico a 72% favorite over Tomasz Drwal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1615), separated by just 0 points.

Eric McConico finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Tomasz Drwal 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.