Eric Nolan vs Rustam Serbiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record9-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
74"Reach69"
185 lbsWeight169 lbs
Lionheart Mixed Martial ArtsTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eric NolanRustam Serbiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Eric Nolan and Rustam Serbiev within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1540), separated by just 3 points.
Eric Nolan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Eric Nolan finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Serbiev 100%.
Eric Nolan carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.