Eric Nolan vs Rustam Serbiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record9-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
74"Reach69"
185 lbsWeight169 lbs
Lionheart Mixed Martial ArtsTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eric NolanRustam Serbiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eric Nolan53%
Rustam Serbiev 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Eric Nolan a 53% favorite over Rustam Serbiev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rustam Serbiev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1540), separated by just 2 points.
Eric Nolan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Eric Nolan finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Serbiev 100%.
Eric Nolan carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.