Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Schafer vs Houston Alexander

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-2Record17-16-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight203 lbs
Red Schafer MMATeamGrudge Training Center

What's at stake

Eric Schafer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Houston Alexander carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eric SchaferNow 1623
If they win+9→ 1632
If they lose-23→ 1600
Houston AlexanderNow 1452
If they win+17→ 1469
If they lose-7→ 1445

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.89
Sig. strikes / min
3.64
34%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.38
57%
Strike defense
53%
1.81
Takedown avg.
0.59
36%
Takedown accuracy
100%
50%
Takedown defense
33%
1.81
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eric SchaferHouston Alexander
1450150015501600165020162017

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
14 (82%)
8 (62%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric Schafer83%
Houston Alexander 17%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric Schafer a 83% favorite over Houston Alexander in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Eric Schafer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1452, a 171-point edge.

Houston Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eric Schafer finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Houston Alexander 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.