Eric Schafer vs Jason Brilz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-2Record23-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Red Schafer MMATeamElite Performance
What's at stake
Jason Brilz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Eric Schafer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1611
If they win+9→ 1723
If they lose-15→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eric SchaferJason Brilz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Brilz54%
Eric Schafer 46%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Brilz a 54% favorite over Eric Schafer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Jason Brilz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1714 to 1623, a 91-point edge.
Eric Schafer finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Jason Brilz 70%.
Eric Schafer and Jason Brilz share 1 common opponent: Ryan Bader.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.