Eric Schafer vs Joe Thurrott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-2Record7-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
If they win+24→ 1645
If they lose-24→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eric SchaferJoe Thurrott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Thurrott56%
Eric Schafer 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Thurrott a 56% favorite over Eric Schafer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eric Schafer's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1621), separated by just 2 points.
Joe Thurrott enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Eric Schafer finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Joe Thurrott 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.