Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Schafer vs Jorge Rivera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jorge Rivera
us

Jorge Rivera

“El Conquistador”

20-9-0MiddleweightUFC

1681Good

Tale of the tape

14-8-2Record20-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Red Schafer MMATeamRivera Athletic Center

What's at stake

Jorge Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Eric Schafer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eric SchaferNow 1623
If they win+19→ 1642
If they lose-13→ 1610
Jorge RiveraNow 1681
If they win+10→ 1691
If they lose-14→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.89
Sig. strikes / min
3.27
34%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.84
57%
Strike defense
54%
1.81
Takedown avg.
0.91
36%
Takedown accuracy
50%
50%
Takedown defense
64%
1.81
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Eric SchaferJorge Rivera
165017002010201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
14 (70%)
8 (62%)
Submission
2 (10%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Jorge Rivera57%
Eric Schafer 43%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Rivera a 57% favorite over Eric Schafer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Jorge Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1623, a 58-point edge.

Eric Schafer finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Rivera 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.