Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Schafer vs Michael Bisping

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-2Record30-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach75″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Red Schafer MMATeamHB Ultimate

What's at stake

Michael Bisping is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Eric Schafer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eric SchaferNow 1623
If they win+21→ 1644
If they lose-11→ 1612
Michael BispingNow 1741
If they win+8→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1725

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1748 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.89
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
34%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
57%
Strike defense
65%
1.81
Takedown avg.
1.05
36%
Takedown accuracy
43%
50%
Takedown defense
63%
1.81
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Eric SchaferMichael Bisping
16501700175020162017

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
18 (60%)
8 (62%)
Submission
2 (7%)
1 (8%)
Decision
10 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Bisping75%
Eric Schafer 25%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Bisping a 75% favorite over Eric Schafer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Michael Bisping holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1623, a 118-point edge.

Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eric Schafer finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Michael Bisping 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.