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Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Schafer vs Stephan Bonnar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Stephan Bonnar
us

Stephan Bonnar

“The American Psycho”

15-9-0Light Heavyweight

1613Solid

Tale of the tape

14-8-2Record15-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric SchaferNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Stephan BonnarNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.89
Sig. strikes / min
2.76
34%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.01
57%
Strike defense
52%
1.81
Takedown avg.
1.32
36%
Takedown accuracy
40%
50%
Takedown defense
60%
1.81
Submission avg.
1.01

Trajectory

Eric SchaferStephan Bonnar
1600165020122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
8 (62%)
Submission
7 (47%)
1 (8%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Stephan Bonnar56%
Eric Schafer 44%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Stephan Bonnar a 56% favorite over Eric Schafer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eric Schafer's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1613), separated by just 10 points.

Stephan Bonnar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eric Schafer finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Stephan Bonnar 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.