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Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Schafer vs Willer Alves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-8-2Record5-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight184 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric SchaferNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Willer AlvesNow 1625
If they win+24→ 1649
If they lose-24→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.89
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
34%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
1.81
Takedown avg.
Not available
36%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.81
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Eric SchaferWiller Alves
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
8 (62%)
Submission
3 (60%)
1 (8%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Willer Alves57%
Eric Schafer 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Willer Alves a 57% favorite over Eric Schafer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1625), separated by just 2 points.

Willer Alves enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Eric Schafer finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Willer Alves 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.