Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Shelton vs Jordan Espinosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record15-10-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
36,5"Reach38,0"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top Team IndianapolisTeamLuttrell-Yee MMA

What's at stake

Eric Shelton is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jordan Espinosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eric SheltonNow 1652
If they win+9→ 1661
If they lose-15→ 1637
Jordan EspinosaNow 1572
If they win+15→ 1587
If they lose-9→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
4.22
43%
Strike accuracy
53%
1.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.94
64%
Strike defense
57%
2.83
Takedown avg.
0.75
52%
Takedown accuracy
29%
46%
Takedown defense
71%
0.17
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Eric SheltonJordan Espinosa
1600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
5 (28%)
Submission
7 (47%)
9 (50%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric Shelton70%
Jordan Espinosa 30%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric Shelton a 70% favorite over Jordan Espinosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Eric Shelton holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1572, a 80-point edge.

Eric Shelton enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jordan Espinosa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eric Shelton finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Espinosa 60%.

Eric Shelton and Jordan Espinosa share 1 common opponent: Rilley Dutro.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Win Towel Thrown in (elbow Dislocation) · 2021
Rilley Dutro
Win Punches · 2018