Eric Shelton vs Joseph Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record14-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
36,5"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top Team IndianapolisTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
Joseph Morales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Eric Shelton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1666
If they lose-10→ 1642
If they win+13→ 1727
If they lose-19→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eric SheltonJoseph Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Morales79%
Eric Shelton 21%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Morales a 79% favorite over Eric Shelton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Joseph Morales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1714 to 1652, a 62-point edge.
Eric Shelton enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Joseph Morales enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Eric Shelton finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Morales 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.