Eric Shelton vs Joseph Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record14-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
36,5"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top Team IndianapolisTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Joseph Morales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Eric Shelton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1653
If they lose-10→ 1629
If they win+13→ 1715
If they lose-19→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eric SheltonJoseph Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Morales75%
Eric Shelton 25%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Morales a 75% favorite over Eric Shelton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Joseph Morales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1702 to 1639, a 63-point edge.
Eric Shelton finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Morales 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.