Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Spicely vs Gerald Meerschaert

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eric Spicely
us

Eric Spicely

“Zebrinha”

13-9-0MiddleweightCES

1537Average

Tale of the tape

13-9-0Record37-22-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
73,0"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Gerald Meerschaert is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Eric Spicely carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eric SpicelyNow 1537
If they win+21→ 1558
If they lose-11→ 1526
Gerald MeerschaertNow 1650
If they win+8→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1688 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
3.01
45%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
56%
Strike defense
53%
1.31
Takedown avg.
1.82
20%
Takedown accuracy
30%
75%
Takedown defense
43%
0.98
Submission avg.
1.38

Trajectory

Eric SpicelyGerald Meerschaert
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
6 (16%)
7 (54%)
Submission
29 (78%)
2 (15%)
Decision
2 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Gerald Meerschaert66%
Eric Spicely 34%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Gerald Meerschaert a 66% favorite over Eric Spicely in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Gerald Meerschaert holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1537, a 113-point edge.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Eric Spicely finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Gerald Meerschaert 95%.

Gerald Meerschaert carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.