Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Spicely vs José Medina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eric Spicely
us

Eric Spicely

“Zebrinha”

13-9-0MiddleweightCES

1537Average

Tale of the tape

13-9-0Record11-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73,0"Reach74″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamPhuket Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric SpicelyNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
José MedinaNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
45%
Strike accuracy
37%
5.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.07
56%
Strike defense
47%
1.31
Takedown avg.
0.40
20%
Takedown accuracy
33%
75%
Takedown defense
28%
0.98
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eric SpicelyJosé Medina
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
7 (54%)
Submission
2 (18%)
2 (15%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

José Medina58%
Eric Spicely 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes José Medina a 58% favorite over Eric Spicely in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eric Spicely's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1536), separated by just 1 points.

José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Eric Spicely finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, José Medina 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.