Eric Spicely vs Sam Alvey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-9-0Record34-18-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
73,0"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamTeam Quest
What's at stake
Sam Alvey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Eric Spicely carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1558
If they lose-11→ 1526
If they win+9→ 1649
If they lose-15→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eric SpicelySam Alvey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Alvey61%
Eric Spicely 39%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Alvey a 61% favorite over Eric Spicely in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Sam Alvey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1537, a 103-point edge.
Eric Spicely finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Sam Alvey 68%.
Sam Alvey carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.