Erick Gonzalez vs Jacob Rosales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record16-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
75"Reach74,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight ScienceTeamCSW· 1624 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
If they win+12→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1571
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erick GonzalezJacob Rosales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Erick Gonzalez and Jacob Rosales within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.
Erick Gonzalez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erick Gonzalez finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Jacob Rosales 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.