Erick Gonzalez vs Joseph Donkor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record6-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height-
75"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight ScienceTeamBox Club Gifhorn
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erick GonzalezJoseph Donkor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erick Gonzalez63%
Joseph Donkor 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Erick Gonzalez a 63% favorite over Joseph Donkor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1571), separated by just 4 points.
Erick Gonzalez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erick Gonzalez finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Donkor 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.