Erick Gonzalez vs Trever Devestern
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record4-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
75"Reach-
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight ScienceTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-24→ 1550
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erick GonzalezTrever Devestern
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trever Devestern60%
Erick Gonzalez 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Trever Devestern a 60% favorite over Erick Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Erick Gonzalez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1574), separated by just 1 points.
Erick Gonzalez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Trever Devestern enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Erick Gonzalez finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Trever Devestern 25%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.