Erick Maia vs Mateusz Makarowski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record14-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Labareda TeamTeamWCA Fight Team· 1600 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erick MaiaMateusz Makarowski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erick Maia65%
Mateusz Makarowski 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Erick Maia a 65% favorite over Mateusz Makarowski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1600), separated by just 1 points.
Erick Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mateusz Makarowski enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Erick Maia finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Makarowski 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.