Combat Edge Intelligence

Erick Montaño vs Giuliano Nicolas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-8-0Record4-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
73"Reach-
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Bonebreakers MMA· 1618 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamOne a One

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erick MontañoNow 1490
If they win+16→ 1506
If they lose-16→ 1474
Giuliano NicolasNow 1498
If they win+23→ 1521
If they lose-25→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.79
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
2.29
Takedown avg.
TBD
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Erick MontañoGiuliano Nicolas
1500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (50%)
4 (40%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Giuliano Nicolas62%
Erick Montaño 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Giuliano Nicolas a 62% favorite over Erick Montaño in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1490 vs 1498), separated by just 8 points.

Giuliano Nicolas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Erick Montaño finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Giuliano Nicolas 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.