Erick Montaño vs Max Griffin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-8-0Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73"Reach76"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Bonebreakers MMA· 1618 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMMAGOLD Fight Team
What's at stake
Max Griffin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Erick Montaño carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1514
If they lose-8→ 1482
If they win+6→ 1675
If they lose-18→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erick MontañoMax Griffin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Max Griffin77%
Erick Montaño 23%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Max Griffin a 77% favorite over Erick Montaño in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Max Griffin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1490, a 179-point edge.
Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erick Montaño finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Max Griffin 55%.
Max Griffin carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.