Erick Montaño vs Randy Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-8-0Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
73"Reach78"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Bonebreakers MMA· 1618 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamBudokan Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
Randy Brown is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Erick Montaño carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1516
If they lose-6→ 1484
If they win+5→ 1747
If they lose-19→ 1723
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erick MontañoRandy Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Brown92%
Erick Montaño 8%Elo baseline: 81%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Brown a 92% favorite over Erick Montaño in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).
Randy Brown holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1742 to 1490, a 252-point edge.
Randy Brown enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Erick Montaño finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Randy Brown 65%.
Randy Brown carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.