Erick Silva vs James Vake
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-11-0Record7-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
74"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1606 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erick SilvaJames Vake
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erick Silva55%
James Vake 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Erick Silva a 55% favorite over James Vake in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans James Vake's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1558), separated by just 1 points.
Erick Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
James Vake enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Erick Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, James Vake 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.