Erick Silva vs Jason High
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-11-0Record23-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamAmerican Top Team HD
What's at stake
Jason High is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Erick Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1596
If they lose-11→ 1564
If they win+8→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erick SilvaJason High
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason High61%
Erick Silva 39%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason High a 61% favorite over Erick Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Jason High holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1575, a 116-point edge.
Erick Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jason High enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Erick Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jason High 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.