Erick Silva vs Jon Fitch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
20-11-0Record32-8-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Jon Fitch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Erick Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1598
If they lose-9→ 1566
If they win+7→ 1748
If they lose-17→ 1724
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erick SilvaJon Fitch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Fitch78%
Erick Silva 22%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Fitch a 78% favorite over Erick Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Jon Fitch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1575, a 166-point edge.
Erick Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Erick Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jon Fitch 38%.
Erick Silva and Jon Fitch share 1 common opponent: Paul Daley.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.