Erick Silva vs Jordan Mein
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-11-0Record32-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"Reach41,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCanadian Martial Arts Centre
What's at stake
Jordan Mein is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Erick Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1563
If they win+9→ 1674
If they lose-15→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erick SilvaJordan Mein
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jordan Mein66%
Erick Silva 34%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Mein a 66% favorite over Erick Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Jordan Mein holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1575, a 90-point edge.
Erick Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Erick Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Mein 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.