Erick Silva vs Josh Koscheck
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-11-0Record17-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamDethrone Base Camp
What's at stake
Josh Koscheck is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Erick Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1594
If they lose-13→ 1562
If they win+10→ 1654
If they lose-14→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erick SilvaJosh Koscheck
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erick Silva54%
Josh Koscheck 46%Elo baseline: 40%
The Combat Edge model makes Erick Silva a 54% favorite over Josh Koscheck in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Koscheck's way (40%).
Josh Koscheck holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1575, a 69-point edge.
Erick Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Erick Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Josh Koscheck 59%.
Erick Silva and Josh Koscheck share 1 common opponent: Paul Daley.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.