Erick Silva vs Máté Kertész
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-11-0Record15-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamBSK Crossfight
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
If they win+12→ 1569
If they lose-12→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erick SilvaMáté Kertész
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Máté Kertész51%
Erick Silva 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Máté Kertész a 51% favorite over Erick Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Erick Silva's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1557), separated by just 0 points.
Erick Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Máté Kertész enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Erick Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Máté Kertész 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.