Erick Silva vs Marcelo Valadão Júnior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-11-0Record2-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1606 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamRangel Farias Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-24→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erick SilvaMarcelo Valadão Júnior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcelo Valadão Júnior72%
Erick Silva 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcelo Valadão Júnior a 72% favorite over Erick Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Erick Silva's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1556), separated by just 1 points.
Erick Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcelo Valadão Júnior enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Erick Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.