Combat Edge Intelligence

Erick Silva vs Takenori Sato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Erick Silva
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Erick Silva

“A Fierce Tiger”

20-11-0WelterweightBFC

1575Solid

Tale of the tape

20-11-0Record20-12-7
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamBattle Box

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erick SilvaNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
Takenori SatoNow 1581
If they win+12→ 1593
If they lose-12→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.50
Sig. strikes / min
0.46
49%
Strike accuracy
33%
4.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
12.92
50%
Strike defense
10%
0.85
Takedown avg.
0
35%
Takedown accuracy
0%
57%
Takedown defense
0%
1.41
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Erick SilvaTakenori Sato
16002017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (15%)
13 (65%)
Submission
8 (40%)
3 (15%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Erick Silva and Takenori Sato within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1581), separated by just 6 points.

Erick Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Erick Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Takenori Sato 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.