Erick Silva vs Takenori Sato
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
20-11-0Record20-12-7
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamBattle Box· 1575 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Takenori Sato is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Erick Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1574
If they lose-15→ 1542
If they win+11→ 1594
If they lose-13→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erick Silva59%
Takenori Sato 41%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Erick Silva a 59% favorite over Takenori Sato in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Takenori Sato's way (46%).
Takenori Sato holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1583 to 1557, a 26-point edge.
Erick Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erick Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Takenori Sato 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.