Erick Silva vs Yancy Medeiros
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-11-0Record16-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight165 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamTeam Hakuilua
What's at stake
Yancy Medeiros is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Erick Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1575
If they lose-14→ 1543
If they win+14→ 1623
If they lose-18→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erick SilvaYancy Medeiros
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yancy Medeiros61%
Erick Silva 39%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Yancy Medeiros a 61% favorite over Erick Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Yancy Medeiros holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1557, a 52-point edge.
Erick Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erick Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Yancy Medeiros 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.