Combat Edge Intelligence

Ericka Almeida vs Juliana Lima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record10-7-0
BantamweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'5"
38,0"Reach65.50
135 lbsWeight116 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamGracie Barra BH

What's at stake

Ericka Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Juliana Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ericka AlmeidaNow 1588
If they win+13→ 1601
If they lose-19→ 1569
Juliana LimaNow 1524
If they win+19→ 1543
If they lose-13→ 1511

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.07
Sig. strikes / min
1.94
40%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.11
44%
Strike defense
56%
0.50
Takedown avg.
1.72
33%
Takedown accuracy
31%
38%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ericka AlmeidaJuliana Lima
1500155016001650201520162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
6 (75%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (80%)

Combat Edge model read

Ericka Almeida67%
Juliana Lima 33%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Ericka Almeida a 67% favorite over Juliana Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Ericka Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1588 to 1524, a 64-point edge.

Ericka Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ericka Almeida finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Juliana Lima 20%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.