Combat Edge Intelligence

Ericka Almeida vs Marina Spasić

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'5"
38,0"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamBorilački klub CDS Novi Sad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ericka AlmeidaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Marina SpasićNow 1588
If they win+24→ 1612
If they lose-24→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.07
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
0.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
38%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ericka AlmeidaMarina Spasić
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (86%)
6 (75%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Marina Spasić66%
Ericka Almeida 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marina Spasić a 66% favorite over Ericka Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ericka Almeida's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1588), separated by just 0 points.

Ericka Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ericka Almeida finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marina Spasić 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.