Combat Edge Intelligence

Ericka Almeida vs Nicolle Caliari

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record9-4-0
BantamweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'3"
38,0"Reach 62"
135 lbsWeight116 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamThai Brasil

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ericka AlmeidaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Nicolle CaliariNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.07
Sig. strikes / min
3.46
40%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.01
44%
Strike defense
54%
0.50
Takedown avg.
2.88
33%
Takedown accuracy
24%
38%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Ericka AlmeidaNicolle Caliari
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
6 (75%)
Submission
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Nicolle Caliari66%
Ericka Almeida 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Nicolle Caliari a 66% favorite over Ericka Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1594), separated by just 6 points.

Ericka Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ericka Almeida finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nicolle Caliari 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.